This writeup questions whether this is a universal trend or niche adaptation. Is decentralization the future of all military strategy, or is it specific to weaker states facing stronger adversaries? This is a profound strategic question that touches on the very evolution of warfare. The short answer is: Decentralization is becoming a universal imperative, but the degree and method of decentralization differ based on power status. It is no longer just a niche adaptation for the weak; it is rapidly becoming the dominant paradigm for all military powers , including the strongest (US, China, Russia, NATO). However, the motivations and implementations diverge significantly. Here is an analysis of whether decentralization is the future of all strategy or just a tool for the weak. 1. The Universal Driver: Why Everyone is Decentralizing Regardless of whether a state is strong or weak, three technological and strategic reali...
By Nagesh Bhushan Iran’s current military doctrine, often referred to as “Decentralised Mosaic Defence” (or simply “Mosaic Defence”), represents a strategic shift designed to ensure the regime’s survival and operational continuity in the face of a potential war with the United States or Israel. Articulated publicly by Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in early 2024 and refined through 2025–2026, the strategy is a direct response to two decades of observing U.S. military campaigns, which Iran believes rely heavily on “decapitation strikes” against leadership and centralized infrastructure. Core Philosophy: Resilience Through Fragmentation The central premise of the Mosaic Defence is that a centralized command structure is a vulnerability. If the enemy destroys the capital, kills senior commanders, or severs communication hubs, the entire war effort collapses. Instead, Iran has moved toward a fully distributed command hierarchy . Autonomous Nodes: Milit...