Why it matters
Under the cover of civilian tech for agriculture and logistics, Hangzhou Qifei is quietly arming authoritarian regimes in Russia, Libya, and the Sahel with dual-use drones like the X15. This expansion highlights China's growing role in low-cost drone warfare, evading Western sanctions and fueling conflicts while Beijing promotes "peaceful" exports.
The big picture
- Hangzhou
Qifei Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd., based in eastern China,
specializes in "plant protection" drones for farming but
produces models easily adapted for military strikes, surveillance, and
reconnaissance.
- Flagship:
X15, a versatile UAV marketed for spraying pesticides but convertible into
an attack drone with modular payloads.
- Debut:
Showcased at Dubai Airshow 2025 as civilian gear, securing interest from
Middle Eastern buyers amid a boom in Chinese drone deals (e.g., a rival
firm landed 1,600 orders).
- Covert
clients: Russia (Ukraine ops), Khalifa Haftar's eastern Libya forces
(civil war proxy battles), and juntas in Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso
(anti-Western coups in Sahel).
By the numbers
- Global
dual-use drone market: China holds ~80% share, per recent patents data;
exports surged 25% in 2025.
- X15
specs: 15kg payload, 2-hour endurance, 100km range — ideal for
low-intensity conflicts; conversion kits add ~$50K for arming.
- Known
diversions: At least 50+ units traced to conflict zones since 2024, via
shell firms in UAE and Turkey.
What they’re saying
- Intelligence
Online (Dec 2025): "Qifei is now one of the most sought-after
suppliers... aircraft in its civilian range can easily be converted into
attack drones."
- U.S.
State Dept. brief (Nov 2025): "Chinese dual-use UAVs are
proliferating in unstable regions, undermining sanctions and enabling
human rights abuses."
- Sahel
analyst at ISS Africa: "Juntas in Bamako and Niamey rely on these
cheap Chinese birds to hit rebels — no strings attached like from French
or U.S. suppliers."
How it works
- Dual-use
facade: Drones sold as agrotech via Dubai/Turkey intermediaries; mods
(e.g., explosive payloads) done post-delivery in recipient countries.
- Evasion
tactics: No direct Beijing ties in contracts; payments routed through
crypto or barter (e.g., Russian minerals for drones).
- Strategic
fit: X15 fills gaps for cash-strapped actors — cheaper than Iran's
Shaheds, stealthier than Turkey's Bayraktars for desert ops.
The bottom line
As Western firms face export curbs, Qifei's shadow sales are supercharging drone-dependent wars from Donbas to the desert. It's a win for China's "civil-military fusion" — profitable exports that project power without fingerprints. Watch for U.S. blacklists in 2026.
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