The
Deeper State: Peril & Response
What
the Deeper State Means for India — and What Must Be Done
The RSS’s century-long social project now threatens
India’s federal compact, constitutional rights and democratic future. For
India’s youth and citizens, the hour for passive observation has passed.
Hyderabad — May 2026
CONSTITUTIONS
ARE EASY TO ADMIRE and difficult to defend. India’s, adopted in 1950, is
among the most ambitious documents of the post-war era: a federal republic of
extraordinary diversity, built on the explicit promises of equality before the
law, freedom of conscience, and the protection of minorities. It has survived
famines, wars, a state of emergency, and several cycles of democratic
backsliding. Whether it survives the present moment is the question that
India’s citizens — and above all, its young — must now answer.
The rise of
what Professor Christophe Jaffrelot calls the “deeper state” — the Sangh
Parivar’s century-long project to make its ideology co-extensive with Indian
society — is not a sudden catastrophe. It is the outcome of patient, layered,
ideologically coherent work. Understanding the perils it poses is the first
condition of resisting them. The second condition is a citizens’ roadmap:
concrete, unsentimental, and suited to the actual levers of change that remain
available in a democracy that is not yet fully closed.
“A constitution is a promise. The deeper state is a project to make
that promise unenforceable — not by tearing it up, but by quietly draining it
of all meaning.”
PART I
The Perils: What Is Actually at Stake
I.
The Unravelling of the Federal Compact
India’s
constitutional architecture is explicitly federal. States possess their own
legislatures, their own police forces, their own domains of policy. That design
was a deliberate settlement: a recognition that a country of India’s scale and
diversity could not be governed as a unitary state without fracturing it. The
RSS has never accepted this logic. Its foundational texts reject the linguistic
reorganisation of states as a concession to “many nations” where there should
be one.
The
mechanisms of undoing are already visible. Delimitation — the forthcoming
redrawing of Lok Sabha constituencies, based on population data from northern
states where the BJP’s electoral base is concentrated — threatens to transform
southern states, which have invested heavily in education and fertility
reduction, into permanent also-rans in national politics. Tamil Nadu, Kerala,
Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh will likely lose parliamentary seats relative to
Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and Madhya Pradesh. The implicit message is that states
that governed themselves well will be penalised for it.
Governors
appointed by the Centre — disproportionately from RSS backgrounds under the
current dispensation — have been used to delay or withhold assent from state
legislation, effectively giving Delhi a veto over opposition-governed states.
The three-language formula, and the pressure to adopt Hindi as a medium of
instruction in non-Hindi-speaking states, is a cultural corollary of the same
project. Federalism in India is not merely a constitutional arrangement. It is
the guarantee of Tamil, Bengali, Kannada, and Malayali identity within a shared
republic. Its erosion is the erosion of what India actually is.
|
The Federal Compact Under
Strain • Delimitation threatens to permanently reduce the
parliamentary weight of south Indian states that have outperformed on
governance • Raj Bhavan (governors) weaponised to obstruct
legislation passed by opposition-governed state assemblies • Hindi imposition in education undermines the
linguistic settlement that makes a diverse union possible • Central investigative agencies (CBI, ED) deployed
asymmetrically against opposition chief ministers and leaders • National Eligibility Tests and centralised curricula
override state educational autonomy |
II.
The Second-Class Citizen: Minorities and the Receding Promise of Equality
Article 14 of
the Indian Constitution guarantees equality before the law. Article 15
prohibits discrimination on grounds of religion, race, caste, sex or place of
birth. These provisions are not aspirational; they are justiciable rights,
enforceable in courts. The deeper state does not abolish them. It makes them
progressively unenforceable by ensuring that the institutions meant to give
them effect — police, prosecutors, courts, election commissions — are either
captured, intimidated, or staffed by people who do not believe in their
purpose.
For India’s
200 million Muslims, the practical consequences are already documented.
Cow-protection vigilantes operate with near-total impunity in most BJP-governed
states; their victims, overwhelmingly Muslim and Dalit, rarely obtain justice.
The Citizenship Amendment Act of 2019 explicitly excludes Muslims from its
protections — a departure from the constitution’s non-discriminatory framework
so stark that it prompted the largest nationwide protests since the Emergency.
The National Register of Citizens, piloted in Assam, produced a bureaucratic
machine capable of rendering citizens stateless. Its nationwide extension
remains a declared policy goal.
The peril
extends well beyond Muslims. Christians face church attacks in BJP-governed
states with a frequency that has prompted formal diplomatic protests from
Western governments. Dalits — constitutionally protected from caste
discrimination — face violence that is increasingly framed, in RSS ideology, as
a conflict between Hindus rather than as discrimination against a
constitutional category. Adivasi land rights, protected by the Forest Rights
Act, are under systematic pressure. When the state chooses which citizens to
protect and which to expose, it ceases to be a republic and becomes something
else.
“The constitution does not need to be formally amended to become a dead
letter. It needs only to be consistently unenforced — and the deeper state has
made unenforcement its operating principle.”
III.
The Closing of the Epistemic Space
Democracies
require an informed citizenry. An informed citizenry requires a free press,
independent universities, and the uninhibited circulation of ideas. All three
are contracting in India at a pace that should alarm anyone who has watched how
other democracies have closed.
India has
fallen to 159th place in the World Press Freedom Index. The consolidation of
national television ownership among conglomerates with close ties to the ruling
party has been extensively documented; prime-time news in India has, in the
assessment of most media scholars, become an exercise in competitive government
promotion rather than journalism. The Foreign Contribution Regulation Act has
been used to cut off international funding to civil-society organisations that
the government finds inconvenient, including Amnesty International India, which
was effectively shut down in 2020.
Universities
have not been spared. The appointment of vice-chancellors sympathetic to the
government, the harassment of students and faculty who organise against it, the
rewriting of history curricula to excise Mughal contributions and amplify a
Hindu-nationalist narrative — these are not isolated incidents. They are a
systematic project to control the terms in which the next generation
understands its own country. A generation that is taught a falsified history
cannot make accurate judgements about the present. That is, of course, the
point.
The
suppression of dissent through the Unlawful Activities Prevention Act — a law
that permits detention without bail for years while charges are framed at
leisure — has produced a chilling effect among journalists, academics, lawyers
and activists that is difficult to quantify but pervasive in its impact. The
most talented members of India’s civil society increasingly self-censor. Some
emigrate. The institutional memory of how to resist is being lost.
IV.
The Economy as a Tool of Exclusion
Economic
policy in any democracy reflects political choices. In India, those choices
have increasingly reflected the priorities of the Sangh Parivar rather than the
constitutional commitment to an inclusive economy. Crony capitalism — the
concentration of economic opportunity in the hands of conglomerates with close
government ties — has accelerated dramatically over the past decade, as
documented in the Hindenburg Research report on the Adani Group and in the
pattern of public-sector contracts and regulatory approvals.
The
consequences for the young are acute. India adds roughly 12 million people to
its labour force each year. The economy, even in years of strong GDP growth,
has not been generating formal employment at anything close to that rate. The
Centre for Monitoring the Indian Economy estimates that over 90 percent of
India’s workforce is in informal, insecure employment. Graduate unemployment
is, by several assessments, at historic highs. The NEET and other competitive
examinations — increasingly centralised and increasingly subject to allegations
of paper leaks and manipulation — have become pressure points of extraordinary
intensity for young Indians who see a narrow funnel between education and
dignified work.
The economic
exclusion of minorities adds a further dimension. Systematic discrimination in
hiring, housing and credit — documented in field experiments by economists
across multiple cities — means that the constitution’s formal guarantees of
equality coexist with an informal economy that routinely denies opportunity on
grounds of religion and caste. When the state does not enforce
anti-discrimination law, the market does not correct for prejudice; it
amplifies it.
|
The Economic Perils at a
Glance • Crony concentration — regulatory and contract
capture by politically connected conglomerates crowds out competitive markets • Youth unemployment — formal job creation has lagged
population growth for a decade; graduate unemployment is at record highs • Informalisation — over 90% of workers lack job
security, social protection or enforceable labour rights • Minority exclusion — documented hiring and housing
discrimination compounds formal inequality with informal exclusion • Examination manipulation — centralised tests (NEET,
UPSC) subject to paper leaks undermine meritocracy and public trust • Fiscal centralisation — GST revenue distribution and
Finance Commission awards penalise better-governed southern states |
V.
The Permanence Problem: Why This Is Hard to Reverse
The deepest
peril of the deeper state is not any single policy or act. It is the
possibility of irreversibility. Democratic backsliding in Hungary, Turkey and
Poland has been serious; in each case, however, there remains a plausible path
to institutional recovery through electoral change. In India, the RSS’s social
networks — the shakhas, the vigilante groups, the professional associations,
the ideologically captured bureaucracy — would outlast any change of
government. A Congress or INDIA bloc victory would not dissolve the
cow-protection squad that patrols a Rajasthan highway, or compel the district
police officer whose sympathies lie with the Sangh to enforce the law equally.
Delimitation,
if completed, would cement northern-state dominance of the Lok Sabha for a
generation. Constitutional amendments requiring a two-thirds majority —
feasible if the BJP consolidates its position further — could entrench changes
that no subsequent government could reverse by simple majority. The appointment
of sympathetic justices to the Supreme Court is a decades-long project; a new
government cannot simply remove them. India may be approaching a threshold
beyond which course correction, though not impossible, would require a
generation rather than an election cycle.
“The question is no longer whether India’s democracy is under stress.
The question is whether it is approaching the point at which stress becomes
permanent deformity.”
PART II
The Roadmap: What Citizens and Youth Must Do
THE
HISTORY OF DEMOCRATIC RECOVERY is not a history of passive hope. It is a
history of organised, patient, creative citizens who understood that
institutions do not defend themselves. In India’s specific circumstances —
where the deeper state has colonised the spaces between official institutions —
the roadmap for citizens must be equally layered: social as well as political,
local as well as national, long-term as well as urgent.
What follows
is a framework in six registers. It does not promise quick victories. The
deeper state was built over a century; it will not be undone in an election
cycle. What it offers instead is a coherent sequence of action calibrated to
what is actually possible — and what has worked, in various forms, in
comparable situations elsewhere.
1.
Build Counter-Networks: Society Against the Deeper State
The RSS’s
strength is social, not merely political. Its shakha network, professional
associations, and vigilante apparatus were built by showing up — in villages,
in slums, in district courts, in university common rooms — over decades. The
democratic response must match it in the same register. Not by imitating its
methods, but by demonstrating that a pluralist, constitutional vision of India
can also be lived, in daily social practice, at the neighbourhood level.
The
precedents exist. The anti-Emergency movement of 1975-77 was sustained by a
network of civil-society actors — lawyers, journalists, students, trade
unionists — who maintained solidarity across ideological lines because the
threat was seen as existential. The contemporary challenge is to rebuild that
solidarity before the emergency is formally declared, rather than after.
|
For Citizens: Build the
Counter-Network 1. Join or create neighbourhood-level civic
organisations that cut across caste and religious lines — resident welfare
associations, reading circles, legal-aid cells — and make them explicitly
pluralist in membership and purpose 2. Support and participate in civil-society
organisations working on constitutional rights: the People’s Union for Civil
Liberties, the Association for Democratic Reforms, local bar associations
with independence credentials 3. Establish inter-faith solidarity networks — not as
political theatre but as sustained social relationships that make communal
violence politically and socially costly at the local level 4. Organise professional guilds — doctors, teachers,
engineers, accountants — around constitutional rather than ideological
solidarity, creating spaces that the RSS does not control 5. Document vigilante activity, discrimination and
institutional failure at the local level and share it with journalists,
legal-aid organisations and international human-rights bodies |
2.
The Youth Compact: From Grievance to Organisation
India’s young
are the demographic fact that both the deeper state and its opponents must
reckon with. There are approximately 600 million Indians under the age of 25.
They are disproportionately unemployed, disproportionately educated beyond the
jobs available to them, and disproportionately connected — to each other, to
information, and to a global awareness of what democratic governance can
deliver. They are, in short, the kindling of a political transformation. The
question is whether that kindling ignites in the direction of authoritarian
populism or constitutional democracy.
The precedent
of Bangladesh is instructive. The student-led uprising that removed Sheikh
Hasina in 2024 was not organised by established parties. It began as a protest
against a particular quota policy, swelled into a broader rejection of cronyism
and impunity, and succeeded because it generated its own leadership from within
rather than borrowing it from discredited political establishments. India’s
circumstances are different in scale and in the sophistication of the apparatus
it faces. But the basic dynamic — youth grievance, economic frustration, and a
critical mass of organisational energy — is present.
“Six hundred million Indians under twenty-five. Chronically
underemployed, digitally connected, and in possession of a constitution that
promised them something very different from what they have received. That is
not a demographic footnote. It is a political fact of the first order.”
|
For Youth: From Anger to
Architecture 1. Organise around concrete, verifiable grievances —
unemployment data, NEET paper leaks, university autonomy — rather than
abstract political allegiances, making the movement harder to dismiss as
partisan 2. Build decentralised, leaderless (or multi-leader)
structures that cannot be neutralised by the arrest or discrediting of a
single figure — the weakness of the Hazare movement was its dependence on one
face 3. Use RTI (Right to Information) applications
systematically: file requests at district, state and central level on job
creation, contract awards, vigilante prosecutions and electoral-roll changes.
Make the data public 4. Create peer-to-peer legal-literacy networks that
help young people understand their rights under Articles 14, 19, 21 and 32 —
and how to invoke them 5. Resist the temptation of social-media virality as a
substitute for organisation. Viral moments dissipate; networks persist.
Invest in the latter 6. Engage with the judiciary proactively:
public-interest litigation remains one of the few institutional levers not
yet fully closed. Law students and young lawyers should treat PIL as a civic
instrument, not merely a career option |
3.
Defend the Institutions That Remain
Not every
institution has been captured. Pockets of independence survive — in some High
Courts, in some state election commissions, in some universities, in some
district courts, in some police forces in opposition-governed states. These
pockets are fragile. They require active defence by citizens who use them,
support them publicly, and make the cost of capturing them visible.
The High
Courts have, in several instances, provided relief that the Supreme Court
declined to grant. The Kerala and Tamil Nadu High Courts have been notably more
assertive than the apex court on questions of state autonomy and civil
liberties. Supporting the bar associations and judges who maintain independence
— through public recognition, through filing cases, through defending lawyers
who face harassment — is not romantic; it is pragmatic.
|
For Citizens: Defend Remaining
Institutional Redoubts 1. Use the Right to Information Act aggressively and
help journalists and civil-society actors do the same — each RTI application
that produces a result is a proof-of-concept that transparency remains
possible 2. Attend and publicise the proceedings of High Courts
when they hear cases touching on civil liberties — judicial behaviour changes
when it is observed and recorded 3. Support opposition-governed state governments in
using their constitutional prerogatives fully: the Governor’s obstruction of
legislation, for example, is not legally absolute and can be challenged 4. Engage with the Election Commission through the
formal complaint mechanisms that remain open — and publicise non-responses to
build a documented record of institutional failure 5. Support independent media financially: subscribe,
donate, amplify. A press that cannot pay its journalists cannot hold power to
account |
4.
The Electoral Strategy: Imperfect Instruments Are Still Instruments
Jaffrelot’s
caution about elections is well-founded: the playing field is tilted, the
referees are compromised, and the rules of the game are being rewritten in real
time. None of this means that elections are worthless. The 2024 Lok Sabha
result demonstrated that the BJP can be checked — that a sufficiently unified
and motivated opposition, competing on a field that is imperfect but not yet
completely closed, can constrain the ruling party’s ambitions. The lesson is
not that elections are futile but that they require a degree of opposition
discipline and voter mobilisation that has historically proved elusive.
The specific
challenge of delimitation is technical but critical. If citizens and
civil-society organisations fail to contest the methodology, the data, and the
legal parameters of delimitation now — before it is completed — the resulting
map will be a fait accompli that constrains Indian democracy for a generation.
Electoral strategy must therefore encompass not only voting but the meta-game
of how votes are counted and constituencies drawn.
|
For Citizens: Engage the
Electoral System Strategically 1. Verify your name on the electoral roll and assist
others in your community to do the same — roll deletions are the simplest and
least visible form of disenfranchisement 2. Train as polling-booth agents for opposition parties
in constituencies where you live: the presence of independent witnesses at
the counting table is the most direct check on local electoral fraud 3. Engage with the delimitation process: the
Delimitation Commission holds public hearings. Attend, submit objections, and
organise collective responses from affected communities 4. Support the INDIA bloc’s efforts at seat-sharing:
the 2024 experience showed that opposition fragmentation is the ruling
party’s most reliable ally 5. Document and report Model Code of Conduct violations
to the Election Commission — and, when the commission fails to act, to the
press and to international election-monitoring bodies |
5.
The International Dimension: Making India’s Trajectory Costly
Democratic
backsliding in large, strategically important countries is rarely reversed
through domestic pressure alone. External pressure — from governments,
international organisations, diaspora communities, and global civil society —
has played a role in most cases of democratic recovery, from South Korea in the
1980s to Poland in 2024. India is uniquely difficult in this respect: its size,
its democratic self-image, and its strategic importance to Western powers
seeking a counterweight to China have insulated it from the level of
international scrutiny that smaller or less strategically valuable backsliders
have faced.
That
insulation is not, however, complete. India’s extensive diaspora in the United
States, the United Kingdom, Canada and Australia includes a significant cohort
of constitutionalists who can bring organised pressure to bear on their host
governments. The treatment of minorities in India is a legitimate subject of
concern for international human-rights bodies, including the UN Human Rights
Council. The targeting of foreign-funded civil-society organisations creates
legal obligations in the countries whose citizens have contributed those funds.
These levers are underused.
|
For the Diaspora and Global
Citizens: The International Lever 1. Engage parliamentarians and legislators in host
countries: the UK Parliament, the US Congress and the European Parliament
have mechanisms for raising human-rights concerns about foreign governments 2. Support international human-rights organisations —
Human Rights Watch, Amnesty International, the International Commission of
Jurists — in their India-focused work 3. Use shareholder activism to raise questions about
the governance and social practices of Indian conglomerates listed on
international exchanges 4. Build academic and journalistic networks that
maintain rigorous, evidence-based documentation of India’s institutional
changes, making the factual record available to policymakers 5. Resist the temptation of diaspora nationalism that
conflates criticism of a government with criticism of a country |
6.
The Long Game: Culture, Curriculum and the Battle for India’s
Self-Understanding
The RSS has
understood for a century what democratic politicians have rarely grasped: that
political power follows cultural power. Control the terms in which a generation
understands its history, its identity and its obligations, and you control the
emotional infrastructure of its politics. The rewriting of school curricula,
the production of films and television that embed a Hindu-nationalist
narrative, the capture of cultural institutions from the Sahitya Akademi to the
Indian Council of Historical Research — these are not sideshows. They are the
core of the project.
The
democratic response must engage at the same level. This does not mean producing
ideological counter-propaganda. It means insisting on historical accuracy,
celebrating India’s plural inheritances — Mughal architecture, Sufi music,
Dravidian philosophy, Buddhist scholarship, Sikh egalitarianism, Dalit
intellectual traditions — as constituents of a shared civilisation rather than
threats to it. It means supporting writers, filmmakers, musicians and artists
who work in the tradition of India’s constitutional pluralism. And it means
doing so not only in English — the language of the metropolitan elite — but in
Hindi, Tamil, Bengali, Marathi, Telugu and Kannada, where the cultural battle
is actually being fought.
“The RSS built its power not by winning elections but by winning the
argument about what India is. The constitutional response must contest that
argument at the same depth — in every language, in every district, in every
generation.”
|
For Citizens and Youth: The
Cultural and Educational Long Game 1. Support and circulate historically accurate,
constitutionally grounded educational content in regional languages — online
platforms make distribution possible at a scale that was inconceivable a
generation ago 2. Engage with local history: document the plural,
composite history of your district, town or neighbourhood and make it
publicly available as a counterweight to the homogenised national narrative 3. Support independent publishing, film and theatre
that works in the constitutional-pluralist tradition — financially, through
attendance, and through amplification 4. Challenge curriculum changes through parent-teacher
associations, school boards and state education departments — the rewriting
of textbooks is a policy decision that can be contested through democratic
means 5. Create intergenerational cultural transmission:
older Indians who lived through the Emergency, or who remember a more plural
public culture, carry knowledge that the young urgently need. Facilitate
those conversations deliberately 6. Reclaim public space: festivals, cultural events and
civic gatherings that bring together Indians across caste, religious and
linguistic lines are not trivial. They are demonstrations that the RSS’s
vision of India is not the only one on offer |
The
Stakes: What Kind of Country
India in 2026
is at a fork in the road that is not, in truth, a fork. One path is clearly
marked, clearly resourced, and has been under construction for a century. It
leads toward a Hindu Rashtra — not a formal theocracy, necessarily, but a state
in which Muslim, Christian, Dalit and Adivasi citizens are permanent
subordinates, in which the federal compact has been replaced by a centrally
administered Hindu nation-state, and in which the constitution survives as
ceremonial text while its substance evaporates.
The other
path is not marked at all. It has to be built, by citizens who decide that the
constitution’s promises are worth defending — not because India has always
lived up to them, but because a country that abandons them formally is a
country that abandons the possibility of ever living up to them. That is the
threshold that India’s deeper state is approaching.
The youth of
India did not create this situation. But they will live with its consequences
longer than anyone else. The generation that is today between the ages of 18
and 35 will be 40 and 55 when the full consequences of delimitation, of
institutional capture, of constitutional amendment, are felt. They will inherit
either a republic that their grandparents built and their parents allowed to be
hollowed out — or one that they chose, at a moment of genuine peril, to defend.
History does
not grade on effort. It records outcomes. The outcome in India is not yet
determined. The deeper state is formidable, patient, and ideologically
coherent. So, in a different register, is India’s constitutional inheritance.
The question — the only question that matters now — is which one India’s
citizens decide to act on.
This article is the second in a series on India’s democratic
transformation, drawing on the scholarship of Christophe Jaffrelot (Sciences Po
/ King’s College London) and on an extended interview conducted by Nilanjan
Mukhopadhyay for Conversations with Nilanjan. The views on institutional
failure expressed herein are based on documented scholarly and journalistic
sources. The recommendations reflect the editors’ independent assessment of
democratic best practice.
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